I’ve been enjoying the snow and air of the Czech Giant Mountains for a week and a few things have changed in the meantime. The first thing that happened was that international (meaning western) pressure did its work.It managed to move the Russian civil war (as Curtis Yarvin calls it) from the stage where the parties could stop shooting and come to a reasonable agreement. Who knows, quite possibly the attacking side intended it that way. That they assumed that by showing force while offering to negotiate, it would lead to a quick agreement. But perhaps it did not include in its calculations the fact that the Ukrainian leadership is not in a position to decide anything and that the West, against which it is waging war, has fallen into a suicidal mentality. And when you’re pointing a gun at each other, and the other person was thinking of suicide anyway, you’re not in a very advantageous situation.
We have managed to corner a belligerent regime equipped with hundreds of nuclear missiles. Bravo
Now it looks like the Russians are left with only two options.A) drag it out to victory at almost any cost, B) accept taking the fighting to Russian territory and conquering their own country. Knowing that they will be occupied by those who consider them subhuman and who place no value on their lives.In other words, we have managed to corner a belligerent regime equipped with hundreds of nuclear missiles. Bravo! Note that in the last 50 years no one has been so stupid as to put, say, “only” North Korea in the same situation.
Second.In some European countries, what was originally a dispute over international politics has become a dispute between rich and poor. My prediction is that the dispute will escalate and that it will be escalated by the side of the rich. They really believe that it is their moral duty to destroy the lives of their less successful fellow citizens. Must a revolution be the result? No, the result may be a series of irrational local revolts and the establishment of a harsh dictatorship.
