Dictator Putin applied the experience of a child of the streets of St. Petersburg: “If a battle is inevitable, one must strike first.” Such a lesson cannot be a justification for aggression. After all, it is chivalrous and right to wait until the opponent has armed himself and attacked first. This is apparently how foreign policy experts and political scientists have seen it. Hence the surprise at the Russian sneak attack.
The Ukrainians, armed militarily and ideologically, will probably be the main loser. That is why we must feel for the fleeing Ukrainians and those who remain in Ukraine. Objectively, they are the victims. The war in Ukraine is a precursor to a possible Third World War, just as the Second World War was preceded by the war in Spain or Abyssinia. The US is following a tried and tested pattern. They wait until the belligerents have exhausted themselves to the maximum. That is why the fighting must be prolonged and weapons supplied.
But the world looks different today than it did eighty years ago. Sanctions against Russia and Russian counter-sanctions are lowering the Iron Curtain a little further east. Before, the world seemed to have a choice between mutually beneficial cooperation and mutually disadvantageous non-cooperation. However, the second option was chosen. The US is too dependent on the dollar and building military superiority.
Russia will also suffer economically, but less than the rest of Europe in the long term.
By preparing for and sacrificing Ukraine, the US seems to have won again. They have been the winners from the moment Russia attacked. They have achieved their goal. Western and Central Europe helped bring down the Iron Curtain. This has succeeded in cutting off this economically developed part of the Eurasian continent from the resources and outlets of the East. The European Union can forget the idea of treating an overseas ally as an equal. The boomerang of its anti-Russian sanctions will make it the second major loser after Ukraine. Russia will also suffer economically, but less than the rest of Europe in the long term.
We hear the cheers of fools that Russia will remain isolated. Yes, it will become more dependent on China. Russia is objectively the aggressor, and the vast majority of UN members have condemned its aggression. It is just that the vast majority of the world has not signed up to the US-European sanctions. Oddly enough, they are betting on mutually beneficial cooperation. The main superpower is realistically China. It will decide how much to trade in dollars. It has no interest in their rapid devaluation. It has a large supply of them. The centre of gravity of the world is definitely shifting to the Pacific. The world is dividing as it once did into a West Roman and an East Roman part. The latter has lasted longer.
The main superpower is realistically China. It will decide how much to trade in dollars
A world without Russia is strangely worthless to Russia. Its dead hand is ready to destroy the rest of the world.
The scoundrels ruling some small countries believe that this is a good opportunity to consolidate power with foreign help. The first thing to do is to get rid of democracy. The misery that will inevitably ensue may help to create bloody dictators or help to bring about the triumph of reason. But pragmatists in many countries of the world will want to live. Even at the cost of mutual convenience. We’ll see how much reason is left.
