Trump’s chances are going up fast, and while his victory is far from certain, the question of what it would mean is pertinent. There are views that liberal democracy is about to collapse like socialism did in 1989. We will encounter views that the hidden power structures will not allow Trump to change anything anyway. And plenty of opinions in between. Let’s try to take a realistic view.
Of course there are different power blocs and interest groups, and even the president is not strong enough for a direct clash. However, as Curtis Yarvin recently wrote, there are often disputes between the various deep-state groups, and the president can be the one who decides between them. A Trump presidency would almost certainly mean that the part of the US elite that wants to stop supporting the fascist regime in Ukraine, find a reasonable deal with Russia and focus on the main adversary – China – will prevail. Which is great for small European states.
On other issues (such as migration or transgender child abuse) the groups are united. There, they will do nothing. Last time he couldn’t get a fence on the border with Mexico passed in four years. While great speeches were made during his presidency, the power of the liberal-democratic structures continued to grow. The security forces even continued their operations against Donald Trump unhindered. The Islamisation of America and of the world was advancing. Political non-profits and liberal universities were becoming more aggressive. Trump couldn’t put Soros in jail, but he couldn’t cut off his nonprofits from government money either. The media became radicalized. Anti-white radicalism, attacks on children’s gender identity, migrant violence…all advanced under Trump. The U.S. Embassy in Prague supported Gay Pride even under Trump. Even the prosecution of Assange has not been stopped. It’s a big question whether Donald Trump could even understand what was going on.
On the other hand, it is very good news that J.D. Vance, a young radical of the Bannon type, has been chosen as vice-president. In an interview with Breitbart, he does not dwell on excuses for neo-Marxism, but clearly identifies multinational corporations, investment funds and international capital as the enemy.
Either way, change is happening in America. We cannot expect radical power change in the Czech environment. The best attainable option is a Babiš electoral victory and another round of cold civil war. However, it is still a thousand times better than continued rule by warmongering fanatics.